Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
0.19 (league 1.29)
5.48 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 0.8% | 52.4% |
best score tips
0 - 5
14.2%
0 - 4
12.9%
0 - 3
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.3% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 100% |
| Attack | 23% | 92% |
| Defense | 15% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 75% | 88% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLL • Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 100% | 100% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 38% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 6% | 94% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 4% | 96% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 12.8% | 87.3% |
Advice: Winner : Ostia Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.19 (league 1.29), Ostia Mare = 5.48 (league 1.21)
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 0.3% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 14.2% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 0.8% · Away win 52.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1