Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.31)
1.06 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 31.9% | 41.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.6%
0 - 0
15.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 15.7% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 7% |
| Attack | 6% | 17% |
| Defense | 44% | 28% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 75% | 80% | 78% | 100% | 75% | 89% |
Form: Recanatese: LWDLLLLLL • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 100% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 67% | 11% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 0% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 1-6 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 0.79 (league 1.31), Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.06 (league 1.18)
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 15.7% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 41.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1