Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.30)
1.52 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 25.4% | 62.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.1%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 13.2% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 7% |
| Attack | 6% | 11% |
| Defense | 39% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 75% | 80% | 78% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sammaurese | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 89% | 67% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 67% | 11% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sammaurese | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fossombrone and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 0.50 (league 1.30), Fossombrone = 1.52 (league 1.18)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 13.2% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 62.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1