Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Guido Angelini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.32) 0.62 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 34.6% 22.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
19.8%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 20.4% 12.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack50%50%
Defense13%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chieti Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%20%20%0%0%0%
Draws60%60%60%0%20%10%
Loses20%20%20%100%80%90%

Form: Chieti: DDWDDWDDLL • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Chieti Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
GF total4812235
GF avg0.81.61.20.40.60.5
GA total681416824
GA avg1.21.61.43.21.62.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%90%40%100%
1.530%30%10%60%
2.520%20%0%50%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
Wins10
Draws21
Losses05

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-3——
Biggest losses0-32-01-63-1
Goals For2312
Goals Against3363

Model comparison

MetricChietiCastelfidardo Calcio
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals29%71%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chieti or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 0.97 (league 1.32), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.62 (league 1.17)

Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 20.4% 12.6% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.8% 12.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.6% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 22.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1