Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.31)
1.16 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 31.3% | 48.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 16.5% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 63% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 60% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDL • Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Victor San Marino and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 0.64 (league 1.31), Victor San Marino = 1.16 (league 1.21)
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 16.5% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 48.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1