Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.31)
0.50 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7% | 20.9% | 9.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| L'Aquila | 0 | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 32% | 16% |
| Defense | 42% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 100% | 17% | 55% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 27% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | L'Aquila | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 36% | 9% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 18% | 0% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | L'Aquila | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Double chance : L'Aquila or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 1.83 (league 1.31), Fossombrone = 0.50 (league 1.21)
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| L'Aquila | 0 | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 9.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1