Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.31) 0.17 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 41.3% 7.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.9%
1 - 0
30.7%
2 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 35.9% 6.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.7% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack58%26%
Defense95%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%83%82%17%60%36%
Draws0%17%9%50%0%27%
Loses20%0%9%33%40%36%

Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWW • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLW

League goals

Metric Ancona Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total714215510
GF avg1.42.31.90.81.00.9
GA total1458412
GA avg0.20.70.51.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%36%64%82%
1.564%9%27%18%
2.527%0%0%9%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets437112
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricAnconaVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAnconaVigor Senigallia
Wins51
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-11-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-31-0
Goals For2522
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricAnconaVigor Senigallia
Form62%38%
Att69%31%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ancona or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away5.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.72 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 0.85 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 0.17 (league 1.18)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 35.9% 6.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.7% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.1% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 41.3% · Away win 7.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1