Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.29)
2.92 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.7% | 15.9% | 59.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 3
7.5%
2 - 2
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Chieti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 13% |
| Attack | 26% | 11% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Loses | 60% | 83% | 73% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
Form: Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWL • Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | Chieti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 100% | 73% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 64% | 27% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 27% | 18% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 18% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 48.5% | 51.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Recanatese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 1.48 (league 1.29), Chieti = 2.92 (league 1.21)
| Chieti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.7% · Draw 15.9% · Away win 59.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1