Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
3.29 (league 1.31)
0.41 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.1% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.4%
4 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sammaurese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 7% |
| Attack | 58% | 16% |
| Defense | 89% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 80% | 100% | 91% | 0% | 20% | 9% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 9% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDW • Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 45% | 45% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 73% | 0% | 18% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 0% | 9% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 93% | 7% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 87.0% | 13.0% |
Advice: Winner : Ostia Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 3.29 (league 1.31), Sammaurese = 0.41 (league 1.18)
| Sammaurese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.1% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.1% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 2.2%
vtt 2 , vtd1