Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.32)
1.75 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 20.9% | 31.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 57% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 58% | 100% | 17% | 58% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDL • L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Notaresco | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 58% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 33% | 58% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 8% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | — | — | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Notaresco | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or L'Aquila
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 2.09 (league 1.32), L'Aquila = 1.75 (league 1.17)
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Notaresco | 0 | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 31.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1