Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.29) 1.13 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 23.7% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maceratese 0 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack57%36%
Defense14%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maceratese Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%17%33%0%17%8%
Draws0%17%8%0%17%8%
Loses50%67%58%100%67%83%

Form: Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWL • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Maceratese Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
GF total9716459
GF avg1.51.21.30.70.80.8
GA total10102019928
GA avg1.71.71.73.21.52.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%83%50%100%
1.533%58%25%58%
2.58%8%0%50%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score101336

Penalties

MetricMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
Wins21
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-1—1-2
Biggest losses1-52-11-63-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against5263

Model comparison

MetricMacerateseCastelfidardo Calcio
Form57%43%
Att62%38%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Maceratese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away5.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maceratese = 1.74 (league 1.29), Castelfidardo Calcio = 1.13 (league 1.21)

Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maceratese 0 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.9% 11.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 24.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1