Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.31) 0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 34.7% 34.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Victor San Marino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 19.2% 16.3% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFossombroneVictor San Marino
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack21%50%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fossombrone Victor San Marino
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%50%17%33%
Draws33%33%33%0%33%17%
Loses50%33%42%50%50%50%

Form: Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWL • Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Fossombrone Victor San Marino
HATHAT
GF total4596612
GF avg0.70.80.81.01.01.0
GA total68147916
GA avg1.01.31.21.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFossombroneVictor San Marino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%75%75%
1.58%25%25%42%
2.50%17%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFossombroneVictor San Marino
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricFossombroneVictor San Marino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFossombroneVictor San Marino
Wins21
Draws21
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-33-1
Goals For1222
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricFossombroneVictor San Marino
Form38%63%
Att30%70%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.3%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Victor San Marino and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 0.80 (league 1.31), Victor San Marino = 0.85 (league 1.18)

Victor San Marino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 19.2% 16.3% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.1% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1