Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.32) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 28.1% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 9.8% 10.9% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack36%43%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vigor Senigallia Recanatese
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%50%33%33%17%25%
Draws50%17%33%17%0%8%
Loses33%33%33%50%83%67%

Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWD • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLW

League goals

Metric Vigor Senigallia Recanatese
HATHAT
GF total55108614
GF avg0.80.80.81.31.01.2
GA total8412111223
GA avg1.30.71.01.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%67%92%
1.525%17%25%58%
2.50%8%17%25%
3.50%0%8%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
Wins11
Draws11
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-11-4
Biggest losses1-31-01-44-1
Goals For2234
Goals Against3144

Model comparison

MetricVigor SenigalliaRecanatese
Form57%43%
Att45%55%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total48.6%51.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Recanatese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.42 @ Marathonbet
Away4.38 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.21 (league 1.32), Recanatese = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Recanatese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 9.8% 10.9% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.8% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1