Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.31) 0.13 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 31.1% 4.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.7%
0 - 0
26.7%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 26.7% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.7% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaFossombrone
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack90%40%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona Fossombrone
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%71%69%29%33%31%
Draws17%14%15%29%33%31%
Loses17%14%15%43%33%38%

Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Ancona Fossombrone
HATHAT
GF total714216511
GF avg1.22.01.60.90.80.8
GA total1786814
GA avg0.21.00.60.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaFossombrone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%38%69%69%
1.554%15%15%23%
2.523%8%0%15%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaFossombrone
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricAnconaFossombrone
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricAnconaFossombrone
Wins52
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-23-0
Goals For2522
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricAnconaFossombrone
Form53%47%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ancona or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.95 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.19 (league 1.31), Fossombrone = 0.13 (league 1.21)

Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 26.7% 3.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.7% 4.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1