Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.31) 0.66 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.3% 43.8% 35.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.6%
0 - 1
22.3%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 33.6% 22.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack80%40%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Ascoli Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%57%38%14%50%31%
Draws50%14%31%57%17%38%
Loses33%29%31%29%33%31%

Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDW • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Atletico Ascoli Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total519246511
GF avg0.82.71.80.90.80.8
GA total68149413
GA avg1.01.11.11.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%62%77%
1.546%38%23%15%
2.531%15%0%8%
3.515%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score303235

Penalties

MetricAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
Wins41
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-62-11-2
Biggest losses0-23-11-31-0
Goals For2622
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricAtletico AscoliVigor Senigallia
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Atletico Ascoli or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 0.43 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 0.66 (league 1.21)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 33.6% 22.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 43.8% · Away win 35.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1