Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
6.07 (league 1.32) 0.30 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 0.7% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.8%
4 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricL'AquilaSammaurese
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack90%20%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric L'Aquila Sammaurese
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins100%29%62%0%17%8%
Draws0%29%15%29%0%15%
Loses0%43%23%71%83%77%

Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWW • Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric L'Aquila Sammaurese
HATHAT
GF total151227448
GF avg2.51.72.10.60.70.6
GA total31518111930
GA avg0.52.11.41.63.22.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineL'AquilaSammaurese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%69%38%92%
1.562%31%15%62%
2.531%15%8%31%
3.58%15%0%23%
4.58%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricL'AquilaSammaurese
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score000448

Penalties

MetricL'AquilaSammaurese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricL'AquilaSammaurese
Wins31
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-3—1-3
Biggest losses—5-21-47-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against1547

Model comparison

MetricL'AquilaSammaurese
Form90%10%
Att82%18%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total81.5%18.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : L'Aquila and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Marathonbet
Draw7.00 @ Bet365
Away17.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 1xBet
No1.83 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 6.07 (league 1.32), Sammaurese = 0.30 (league 1.17)

Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.7% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 0.7% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1