Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Nicola Tubaldi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.29) 1.79 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 22.3% 39.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recanatese 0 3.0% 5.4% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRecanateseMaceratese
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack70%90%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Recanatese Maceratese
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%57%17%38%
Draws17%14%15%0%17%8%
Loses50%71%62%43%67%54%

Form: Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWD • Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Recanatese Maceratese
HATHAT
GF total871511718
GF avg1.31.01.21.61.21.4
GA total111324101020
GA avg1.81.91.81.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRecanateseMaceratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%92%77%
1.523%54%38%54%
2.515%23%8%8%
3.58%15%0%8%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRecanateseMaceratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score134101

Penalties

MetricRecanateseMaceratese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRecanateseMaceratese
Wins12
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-43-10-1
Biggest losses1-44-11-52-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against4452

Model comparison

MetricRecanateseMaceratese
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Recanatese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Marathonbet
Away2.67 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 1.71 (league 1.29), Maceratese = 1.79 (league 1.21)

Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Recanatese 0 3.0% 5.4% 4.9% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
1 5.2% 9.2% 8.3% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 39.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1