Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.31) 2.65 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.3% 11.7% 78.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 3
13.9%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 4.5% 11.8% 15.7% 13.9% 9.2% 4.9%
1 2.0% 5.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSammaureseAncona
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack18%45%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 35 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sammaurese Ancona
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins0%14%7%57%71%64%
Draws29%0%14%14%14%14%
Loses71%86%79%29%14%21%

Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLL • Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLL

League goals

Metric Sammaurese Ancona
HATHAT
GF total44881422
GF avg0.60.60.61.12.01.6
GA total1123343710
GA avg1.63.32.40.41.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSammaureseAncona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.536%93%71%43%
1.514%64%50%21%
2.57%36%21%7%
3.50%29%7%0%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSammaureseAncona
HATHAT
Clean sheets101538
Failed to score459224

Penalties

MetricSammaureseAncona
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSammaureseAncona
Wins15
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-01-5
Biggest losses1-47-01-23-0
Goals For2325
Goals Against4723

Model comparison

MetricSammaureseAncona
Form13%88%
Att29%71%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total20.3%80.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ancona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betano
Draw3.44 @ Marathonbet
Away2.05 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Marathonbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 0.46 (league 1.31), Ancona = 2.65 (league 1.21)

Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 4.5% 11.8% 15.7% 13.9% 9.2% 4.9%
1 2.0% 5.4% 7.2% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2%
2 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.3% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 78.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1