Vigor Senigallia vs Castelfidardo Calcio

Serie D - Girone F — Italy

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli

Match Finished

Vigor Senigallia

2 - 0

Castelfidardo Calcio

Expected Goals

1.10 (league 1.31) 0.77 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
42.9%	31.5%	25.5%

best score tips

1 - 0

16.9%

0 - 0

15.4%

1 - 1

13.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Castelfidardo Calcio
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Vigor Senigallia	0	15.4%	11.9%	4.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	16.9%	13.1%	5.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	9.3%	7.2%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.4%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Vigor Senigallia	Castelfidardo Calcio
Played	5	5
Form	33%	27%
Attack	36%	55%
Defense	55%	9%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%

FT probability

2.5+

47%

FT probability

3.5+

34%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Vigor Senigallia			Castelfidardo Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	7	14	7	7	14
Wins	14%	43%	29%	0%	14%	7%
Draws	57%	14%	36%	14%	14%	14%
Loses	29%	43%	36%	86%	71%	79%

Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDL • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLD

League goals

Metric	Vigor Senigallia			Castelfidardo Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	6	12	5	5	10
GF avg	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.7	0.7	0.7
GA total	9	6	15	20	11	31
GA avg	1.3	0.9	1.1	2.9	1.6	2.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Vigor Senigallia		Castelfidardo Calcio
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	79%	50%	100%
1.5	21%	21%	21%	57%
2.5	0%	7%	0%	43%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	7%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Vigor Senigallia			Castelfidardo Calcio
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	2	3	0	0	0
Failed to score	2	3	5	3	4	7

Penalties

Metric	Vigor Senigallia	Castelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Vigor Senigallia	Castelfidardo Calcio
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	3	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-2	—	1-2
Biggest losses	1-3	2-1	1-6	3-1
Goals For	2	2	2	2
Goals Against	3	2	6	3

Model comparison

Metric	Vigor Senigallia	Castelfidardo Calcio
Form	56%	44%
Att	40%	60%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	33%	67%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	50.5%	49.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano

Draw3.50 @ Bet365

Away4.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.85 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet

No1.93 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Bet365 Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.67
Draw	3.50
Away	4.40

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.28
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.90
Away -0.75	1.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.00
Under 2.5	1.80

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	9.50
Draw/Draw	5.50
Home/Home	2.60
Draw/Home	4.50
Away/Home	23.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	7.50

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.50
2:0	7.50
2:1	10.00
3:0	12.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	34.00
4:0	21.00
4:1	29.00
0:0	8.50
1:1	7.50
2:2	19.00
0:1	12.00
0:2	23.00
0:3	41.00
1:2	17.00
1:3	41.00
2:3	41.00
3:3	51.00
0:4	81.00
1:4	81.00
4:2	51.00
5:0	41.00
5:1	51.00
6:0	67.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.75
2:0	8.50
2:1	21.00
3:0	26.00
3:1	51.00
4:0	51.00
0:0	2.75
1:1	9.50
2:2	67.00
0:1	6.50
0:2	26.00
0:3	81.00
1:2	34.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.14
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	2.00

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Draw	2.20
Away	5.00

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.57
Draw	8.50
Away	2.75

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.85
Away -0.25	1.95

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.14
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.57

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.85

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.10
Even	1.73

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.73

Bet ID 50 — Goal Line

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.02
Under 2.5	1.78

Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1	1.98
Under 1	1.82

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.75
Draw	3.45
Away	3.98

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.12
Draw	2.45
Away	4.10

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.74
Away -1.25	1.35
Home -1	2.38
Away -1	1.46
Home -0.75	1.95
Away -0.75	1.69
Home -0.25	1.52
Away -0.25	2.24
Home +0	1.33
Away +0	2.96
Home +0.25	1.24
Away +0.25	3.34
Home +0.75	1.11
Away +0.75	4.95
Home -2	5.40
Away -2	1.09
Home +1	1.02
Away +1	7.80
Home -1.5	3.08
Away -1.5	1.28
Home +1.5	1.01
Away +1.5	8.60
Home -2.5	6.15
Away -2.5	1.06

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.22
Over 1.75	1.33
Under 1.75	2.83
Over 2.0	1.42
Under 2.0	2.49
Over 2.25	1.64
Under 2.25	2.02
Over 2.5	1.89
Under 2.5	1.80
Over 2.75	2.10
Under 2.75	1.59
Over 3.5	3.14
Under 3.5	1.27
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.50
Over 3.0	2.52
Under 3.0	1.41
Over 3.25	2.83
Under 3.25	1.33
Over 3.75	3.88
Under 3.75	1.18
Over 4.0	5.25
Under 4.0	1.09

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.73
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.75
Over 1.0	1.84
Under 1.0	1.84

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.10
Under 1.5	1.64
Over 2.0	3.42
Under 2.0	1.24
Over 1.0	1.42
Under 1.0	2.53

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.78
No	1.86

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.08
Away -1	1.85
Draw -1	3.34
Home -2	6.15
Draw -2	5.00
Away -2	1.28
Home +1	1.24
Draw +1	4.85
Away +1	6.95

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.16
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.85

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.32
Draw	2.11
Away	4.60

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.58
Draw	8.70
Away	2.67

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.59
Draw	8.70
Away	2.64

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.87
Under 1.5	1.81
Over 1	1.30
Under 1	3.10
Over 2	2.84
Under 2	1.35

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.34
Under 1.5	1.26
Over 1	2.22
Under 1	1.57
Over 2	7.50
Under 2	1.03

1xBet Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.81
Draw	3.45
Away	3.86

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.18
Draw	2.46
Away	4.07

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.83
Away -1.25	1.33
Home -1	2.46
Away -1	1.43
Home -0.75	2.02
Away -0.75	1.64
Home -0.25	1.56
Away -0.25	2.15
Home +0	1.36
Away +0	2.82
Home +0.25	1.26
Away +0.25	3.20
Home +0.75	1.12
Away +0.75	4.70
Home -2	5.65
Away -2	1.08
Home +1	1.03
Away +1	7.20
Home -1.5	3.14
Away -1.5	1.27
Home +1.5	1.02
Away +1.5	8.10
Home -2.5	6.40
Away -2.5	1.05

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.22
Over 1.75	1.32
Under 1.75	2.88
Over 2.0	1.41
Under 2.0	2.52
Over 2.25	1.63
Under 2.25	2.04
Over 2.5	1.87
Under 2.5	1.82
Over 2.75	2.07
Under 2.75	1.61
Over 3.5	3.08
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 0.5	1.02
Under 0.5	8.90
Over 1.0	1.02
Under 1.0	7.70
Over 3.0	2.49
Under 3.0	1.42
Over 4.5	5.40
Under 4.5	1.11
Over 3.25	2.78
Under 3.25	1.34
Over 3.75	3.80
Under 3.75	1.19
Over 4.0	5.10
Under 4.0	1.10

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.71
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 2.0	5.00
Under 2.0	1.13
Over 2.5	6.50
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 0.5	1.36
Under 0.5	2.75
Over 0.75	1.51
Under 0.75	2.32
Over 1.0	1.82
Under 1.0	1.86
Over 1.25	2.28
Under 1.25	1.53

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.08
Under 1.5	1.65
Over 1.75	2.50
Under 1.75	1.44
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 2.5	4.30
Under 2.5	1.18
Over 0.5	1.21
Under 0.5	3.90
Over 1.0	1.41
Under 1.0	2.56
Over 1.25	1.75
Under 1.25	1.92

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	17.00
Home/Away	41.00
Draw/Away	9.50
Draw/Draw	5.50
Home/Home	2.60
Draw/Home	4.50
Away/Home	23.00
Away/Draw	19.00
Away/Away	7.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.75
No	1.93

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.50
2:0	7.50
2:1	10.00
3:0	12.00
3:1	17.00
3:2	34.00
4:0	21.00
4:1	29.00
0:0	9.00
1:1	7.50
2:2	19.00
0:1	12.00
0:2	23.00
0:3	41.00
1:2	17.00
1:3	41.00
2:3	41.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	80.00
1:4	80.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	50.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	41.00
5:1	50.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	65.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.42
1st Half	2.99
2nd Half	2.03

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.75
2:0	8.50
2:1	21.00
3:0	26.00
3:1	50.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	2.75
1:1	9.50
2:2	65.00
0:1	6.50
0:2	26.00
0:3	80.00
1:2	34.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.18
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.81

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.38
Draw	2.12
Away	4.60

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.90
Under 1.5	1.79
Over 2.5	3.95
Under 2.5	1.20
Over 3.5	9.50
Under 3.5	1.03
Over 1	1.31
Under 1	3.04
Over 2	2.92
Under 2	1.33
Over 0.5	1.16
Under 0.5	4.30

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.18
Under 1.5	1.28
Over 2.5	7.10
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 1	2.10
Under 1	1.64
Over 2	6.90
Under 2	1.04
Over 0.5	1.44
Under 0.5	2.47

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.20
Away -1	1.10
Home -0.25	1.91
Away -0.25	1.74
Home +0	1.43
Away +0	2.50
Home +0.25	1.25
Away +0.25	3.34

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.12
Home/Away	1.54
Draw/Away	1.43

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.15
Home/Away	1.40
Draw/Away	1.52

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.30
No	1.17

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.20
No	1.28

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.82
Even	1.82

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.67

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.77

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.04
Even	1.64

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.98
Away -1	1.17
Home -0.25	1.79
Away -0.25	1.85
Home +0	1.42
Away +0	2.53
Home +0.25	1.27
Away +0.25	3.20

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.78
Under 0.5	1.86

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.44
Under 0.5	1.45

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.54
Under 0.5	2.22

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.04
Under 0.5	1.64

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Betano Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.91
Draw	3.40
Away	3.40

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.42
Away	2.45

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.22
Draw	2.50
Away	3.55

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.5	1.83
Away -0.5	1.78

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.78
Under 2.5	1.85

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.47
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 1.0	1.75
Under 1.0	1.80

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	37.00
Draw/Away	7.60
Draw/Draw	5.20
Home/Home	3.00
Draw/Home	4.70
Away/Home	24.00
Away/Draw	14.50
Away/Away	5.80

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.20
2:0	7.40
2:1	6.50
3:0	12.00
3:1	10.75
3:2	17.00
4:0	25.00
4:1	22.00
0:0	10.50
1:1	5.40
2:2	10.25
0:1	8.25
0:2	13.50
0:3	30.00
1:2	9.00
1:3	21.00
2:3	24.00
3:3	37.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	60.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	35.00
0:5	300.00
1:5	200.00
2:5	250.00
3:4	110.00
5:0	65.00
5:1	55.00
5:2	90.00
6:0	175.00
6:1	175.00
6:2	250.00
4:3	75.00
3:5	400.00
5:3	200.00
4:4	200.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.30
1st Half	3.00
2nd Half	1.93

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.05
2:0	6.60
2:1	11.00
3:0	19.00
3:1	32.00
3:2	90.00
4:0	70.00
4:1	110.00
0:0	2.32
1:1	5.10
2:2	32.00
0:1	4.05
0:2	11.75
0:3	45.00
1:2	15.00
1:3	60.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.72

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.47
Draw	2.12
Away	3.90

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.91
Away -0.25	1.65

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.22
Home/Away	1.57
Draw/Away	1.44

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.47
Away	2.25

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.47
Away	2.27

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Vigor Senigallia vs Castelfidardo Calcio

Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.10 (league 1.31), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.77 (league 1.18)

		Castelfidardo Calcio
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Vigor Senigallia	0	15.4%	11.9%	4.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	16.9%	13.1%	5.0%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	9.3%	7.2%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.4%	2.6%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Vigor Senigallia	Castelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0