Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.31) 2.46 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.5% 15.3% 72.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.9%
0 - 3
10.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castelfidardo Calcio 0 4.3% 10.5% 12.9% 10.6% 6.5% 3.2%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2%
2 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack29%29%
Defense47%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castelfidardo Calcio Fossombrone
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins0%13%7%25%43%33%
Draws14%13%13%38%29%33%
Loses86%75%80%38%29%33%

Form: Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Castelfidardo Calcio Fossombrone
HATHAT
GF total55106713
GF avg0.70.60.70.81.00.9
GA total2013336915
GA avg2.91.62.20.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%100%67%67%
1.520%60%20%20%
2.50%40%0%13%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score358325

Penalties

MetricCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
Wins12
Draws12
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-22-01-2
Biggest losses1-63-11-23-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against6323

Model comparison

MetricCastelfidardo CalcioFossombrone
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fossombrone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Superbet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Superbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.69 (league 1.31), Fossombrone = 2.46 (league 1.18)

Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castelfidardo Calcio 0 4.3% 10.5% 12.9% 10.6% 6.5% 3.2%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.3% 4.5% 2.2%
2 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.5% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 72.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1