Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Guido Angelini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.32) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 30.1% 51.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.4%
0 - 0
15.7%
0 - 2
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 15.7% 19.4% 12.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChietiVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack24%35%
Defense41%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chieti Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%13%13%25%43%33%
Draws43%50%47%50%14%33%
Loses43%38%40%25%43%33%

Form: Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLW

League goals

Metric Chieti Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total610168614
GF avg0.91.31.11.00.90.9
GA total1113249615
GA avg1.61.61.61.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChietiVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%67%73%
1.527%47%27%20%
2.513%27%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChietiVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets112224
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricChietiVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChietiVigor Senigallia
Wins11
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-32-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricChietiVigor Senigallia
Form11%89%
Att40%60%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Superbet
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 0.61 (league 1.32), Vigor Senigallia = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chieti 0 15.7% 19.4% 12.0% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.7% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 51.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1