Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Guido Angelini
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.31)
1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.1% | 30.8% | 49.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 0
16.3%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chieti | 0 | 16.3% | 19.5% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 53% |
| Attack | 24% | 35% |
| Defense | 41% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 14% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
| Draws | 43% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 14% | 33% |
| Loses | 43% | 38% | 40% | 25% | 43% | 33% |
Form: Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 87% | 67% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 47% | 27% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 27% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chieti | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11% | 89% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chieti = 0.62 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 1.19 (league 1.21)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chieti | 0 | 16.3% | 19.5% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 30.8% · Away win 49.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1