Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.31) 0.58 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 22.3% 11.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
L'Aquila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 9.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaL'Aquila
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack41%82%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona L'Aquila
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%75%67%100%29%67%
Draws14%13%13%0%29%13%
Loses29%13%20%0%43%20%

Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLW • L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Ancona L'Aquila
HATHAT
GF total81725221234
GF avg1.12.11.72.81.72.3
GA total371041519
GA avg0.40.90.70.52.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaL'Aquila
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%40%100%67%
1.553%20%67%27%
2.527%7%40%13%
3.57%0%13%13%
4.57%0%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaL'Aquila
HATHAT
Clean sheets549415
Failed to score224000

Penalties

MetricAnconaL'Aquila
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAnconaL'Aquila
Wins53
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-55-10-3
Biggest losses1-23-0—5-2
Goals For2553
Goals Against2315

Model comparison

MetricAnconaL'Aquila
Form37%63%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total50.6%49.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or L'Aquila

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away2.77 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.92 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.76 (league 1.31), L'Aquila = 0.58 (league 1.18)

L'Aquila
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 9.7% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.0% 9.8% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 11.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1