Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.31) 0.51 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 13.3% 5.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.2% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico AscoliSammaurese
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack41%12%
Defense76%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.817 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Ascoli Sammaurese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%50%40%0%14%7%
Draws43%25%33%25%0%13%
Loses29%25%27%75%86%80%

Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWD • Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Atletico Ascoli Sammaurese
HATHAT
GF total71926448
GF avg1.02.41.70.50.60.5
GA total7815142337
GA avg1.01.01.01.83.32.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico AscoliSammaurese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%53%33%93%
1.547%33%13%67%
2.527%13%7%40%
3.513%0%0%27%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico AscoliSammaurese
HATHAT
Clean sheets347101
Failed to score3145510

Penalties

MetricAtletico AscoliSammaurese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricAtletico AscoliSammaurese
Wins41
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-6—1-3
Biggest losses0-23-11-47-0
Goals For2623
Goals Against2347

Model comparison

MetricAtletico AscoliSammaurese
Form89%11%
Att78%22%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total83.0%17.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.13 @ Unibet
Draw8.77 @ Pinnacle
Away32.00 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes4.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.37 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 2.52 (league 1.31), Sammaurese = 0.51 (league 1.18)

Sammaurese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 4.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.2% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.9% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1