Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Claudio Tomei
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.31) 0.92 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 22.6% 18.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sora 0 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 10.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack8%33%
Defense25%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sora Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%13%19%13%13%13%
Draws25%38%31%13%13%13%
Loses50%50%50%75%75%75%

Form: Sora: LDWLDLWDWLLDLLLD • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLW

League goals

Metric Sora Castelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
GF total126186511
GF avg1.50.81.10.80.60.7
GA total141226201333
GA avg1.81.51.62.51.62.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%69%50%94%
1.531%56%19%56%
2.519%31%0%38%
3.513%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets235101
Failed to score448358

Penalties

MetricSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
Wins11
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-21-01-2
Biggest losses0-43-01-63-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against4363

Model comparison

MetricSoraCastelfidardo Calcio
Form33%67%
Att20%80%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away2.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sora = 1.83 (league 1.31), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.92 (league 1.18)

Castelfidardo Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sora 0 6.4% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 10.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 6.6% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1