Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31) 2.31 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.5% 17.1% 69.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
0 - 3
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 4.6% 10.8% 12.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.6%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNotarescoAncona
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack25%50%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Notaresco Ancona
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%63%50%63%75%69%
Draws25%38%31%13%13%13%
Loses38%0%19%25%13%19%

Form: Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDLLDDW • Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWW

League goals

Metric Notaresco Ancona
HATHAT
GF total91322101727
GF avg1.11.61.41.32.11.7
GA total105153710
GA avg1.30.60.90.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNotarescoAncona
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%75%38%
1.531%31%56%19%
2.513%6%25%6%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNotarescoAncona
HATHAT
Clean sheets2576410
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricNotarescoAncona
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNotarescoAncona
Wins35
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-01-5
Biggest losses1-3—1-23-0
Goals For2425
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricNotarescoAncona
Form42%58%
Att33%67%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ancona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.38 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away1.83 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Notaresco = 0.76 (league 1.31), Ancona = 2.31 (league 1.18)

Ancona
0 1 2 3 4 5
Notaresco 0 4.6% 10.8% 12.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.6%
1 3.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.2% 4.2% 1.9%
2 1.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7%
3 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.5% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 69.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1