Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.31) 0.93 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.8% 27.4% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Unipomezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack42%42%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vigor Senigallia Unipomezia
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%50%38%25%25%25%
Draws50%13%31%50%25%38%
Loses25%38%31%25%50%38%

Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWW • Unipomezia: DDLWWLDLWDLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Vigor Senigallia Unipomezia
HATHAT
GF total87157815
GF avg1.00.90.90.91.00.9
GA total961581422
GA avg1.10.80.91.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%69%63%
1.525%19%19%44%
2.50%6%6%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets235426
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
Wins12
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-32-12-45-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against3245

Model comparison

MetricVigor SenigalliaUnipomezia
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total59.3%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.37 (league 1.31), Unipomezia = 0.93 (league 1.18)

Unipomezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Senigallia 0 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.8% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1