Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.31)
1.32 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.4% | 24.1% | 30.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Maceratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 53% | 73% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 41% | 67% | 13% | 41% |
| Draws | 44% | 13% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 12% |
| Loses | 22% | 38% | 29% | 33% | 63% | 47% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWW • Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 94% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 12% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Maceratese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Vigor Senigallia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.65 (league 1.31), Maceratese = 1.32 (league 1.18)
| Maceratese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.4% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 30.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1