Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.31)
0.95 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5% | 35.9% | 44.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 23.0% | 21.9% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 20% |
| Defense | 27% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 0% | 13% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 12% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 12% |
| Loses | 67% | 88% | 76% | 75% | 78% | 76% |
Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLD • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 14 | 26 | 40 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 88% | 53% | 94% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 65% | 18% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 41% | 0% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 24% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 7-0 | 1-6 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sammaurese | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 42.4% | 57.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castelfidardo Calcio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 0.52 (league 1.31), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.95 (league 1.18)
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sammaurese | 0 | 23.0% | 21.9% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 44.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1