Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.32)
0.65 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|
| 47.5% |
31.4% |
20.9% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Chieti |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Fossombrone |
0 |
16.5% |
10.8% |
3.5% |
0.8% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
18.9% |
12.4% |
4.0% |
0.9% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
10.9% |
7.1% |
2.3% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
4.2% |
2.7% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
1.2% |
0.8% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 7% |
| Attack | 33% | 20% |
| Defense | 87% | 27% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
Fossombrone |
Chieti |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 35% | 13% | 11% | 12% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 38% | 44% | 41% |
| Loses | 33% | 38% | 35% | 50% | 44% | 47% |
Form: Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLW • Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric |
Fossombrone |
Chieti |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| For | Against | For | Against |
|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 59% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 18% | 24% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 12% | 12% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fossombrone | Chieti |
|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 85% | 15% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 64.2% | 36.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Fossombrone or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ Superbet
Draw3.46 @ Marathonbet
Away3.86 @ Marathonbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.82 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
Marathonbet
Updated: 2026-01-04T12:00:32+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.77 |
| Draw |
3.46 |
| Away |
3.86 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.14 |
| Draw |
2.46 |
| Away |
4.00 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1.25 |
2.78 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.34 |
| Home -1 |
2.47 |
| Away -1 |
1.46 |
| Home -0.75 |
1.99 |
| Away -0.75 |
1.66 |
| Home -0.25 |
1.55 |
| Away -0.25 |
2.17 |
| Home +0 |
1.33 |
| Away +0 |
2.83 |
| Home +0.25 |
1.26 |
| Away +0.25 |
3.20 |
| Home -2 |
5.55 |
| Away -2 |
1.08 |
| Home +1 |
1.03 |
| Away +1 |
7.40 |
| Home -1.75 |
3.92 |
| Away -1.75 |
1.18 |
| Home -1.5 |
3.14 |
| Away -1.5 |
1.27 |
| Home +1.5 |
1.02 |
| Away +1.5 |
8.30 |
| Home -2.5 |
6.30 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.06 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.26 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.20 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.32 |
| Under 1.75 |
2.88 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.41 |
| Under 2.0 |
2.52 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.63 |
| Under 2.25 |
2.03 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.87 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.82 |
| Over 2.75 |
2.07 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.61 |
| Over 3.5 |
3.08 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.28 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.03 |
| Under 1.0 |
7.70 |
| Over 3.0 |
2.49 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.42 |
| Over 3.25 |
2.81 |
| Under 3.25 |
1.33 |
| Over 3.75 |
3.82 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.19 |
| Over 4.0 |
5.15 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.10 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.71 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.37 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.36 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.75 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.82 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.86 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.08 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.65 |
| Over 2.0 |
3.34 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.25 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.41 |
| Under 1.0 |
2.56 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.76 |
| No |
1.88 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1 |
3.14 |
| Away -1 |
1.83 |
| Draw -1 |
3.42 |
| Home -2 |
6.30 |
| Draw -2 |
5.10 |
| Away -2 |
1.27 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.17 |
| Home/Away |
1.22 |
| Draw/Away |
1.83 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.33 |
| Draw |
2.12 |
| Away |
4.50 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.60 |
| Draw |
8.80 |
| Away |
2.60 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.61 |
| Draw |
8.80 |
| Away |
2.58 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.88 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.80 |
| Over 1 |
1.30 |
| Under 1 |
3.10 |
| Over 2 |
2.89 |
| Under 2 |
1.34 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
3.22 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.28 |
| Over 1 |
2.14 |
| Under 1 |
1.62 |
| Over 2 |
7.10 |
| Under 2 |
1.04 |
Betano
Updated: 2026-01-04T12:00:32+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.82 |
| Draw |
3.35 |
| Away |
3.80 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.35 |
| Away |
2.70 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.15 |
| Draw |
2.47 |
| Away |
3.85 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -0.5 |
1.75 |
| Away -0.5 |
1.85 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.5 |
1.85 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.80 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
1.38 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.47 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.80 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.75 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
14.00 |
| Home/Away |
40.00 |
| Draw/Away |
8.25 |
| Draw/Draw |
5.00 |
| Home/Home |
2.87 |
| Draw/Home |
4.45 |
| Away/Home |
24.00 |
| Away/Draw |
14.50 |
| Away/Away |
6.60 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
5.60 |
| 2:0 |
6.70 |
| 2:1 |
6.40 |
| 3:0 |
11.00 |
| 3:1 |
10.50 |
| 3:2 |
17.50 |
| 4:0 |
23.00 |
| 4:1 |
22.00 |
| 0:0 |
9.75 |
| 1:1 |
5.30 |
| 2:2 |
10.75 |
| 0:1 |
8.50 |
| 0:2 |
15.00 |
| 0:3 |
37.00 |
| 1:2 |
9.75 |
| 1:3 |
24.00 |
| 2:3 |
27.00 |
| 3:3 |
40.00 |
| 0:4 |
110.00 |
| 1:4 |
75.00 |
| 2:4 |
80.00 |
| 4:2 |
37.00 |
| 0:5 |
400.00 |
| 1:5 |
300.00 |
| 2:5 |
300.00 |
| 3:4 |
120.00 |
| 5:0 |
55.00 |
| 5:1 |
55.00 |
| 5:2 |
90.00 |
| 6:0 |
175.00 |
| 6:1 |
150.00 |
| 6:2 |
250.00 |
| 4:3 |
90.00 |
| 5:3 |
200.00 |
| 4:4 |
250.00 |
Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Draw |
3.25 |
| 1st Half |
3.05 |
| 2nd Half |
1.95 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
2.95 |
| 2:0 |
6.30 |
| 2:1 |
11.00 |
| 3:0 |
18.00 |
| 3:1 |
32.00 |
| 3:2 |
90.00 |
| 4:0 |
65.00 |
| 4:1 |
110.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.47 |
| 1:1 |
5.20 |
| 2:2 |
32.00 |
| 0:1 |
4.20 |
| 0:2 |
13.00 |
| 0:3 |
55.00 |
| 1:2 |
16.00 |
| 1:3 |
65.00 |
| 2:3 |
150.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.22 |
| Home/Away |
1.26 |
| Draw/Away |
1.80 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.42 |
| Draw |
2.07 |
| Away |
4.25 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -0.25 |
1.85 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.70 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.19 |
| Home/Away |
1.60 |
| Draw/Away |
1.45 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.85 |
| Even |
1.80 |
Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.42 |
| Away |
2.42 |
Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.40 |
| Away |
2.45 |
Superbet
Updated: 2026-01-04T12:00:32+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.88 |
| Draw |
3.35 |
| Away |
3.65 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.37 |
| Away |
2.65 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.25 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.25 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.88 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.82 |
| Over 3.5 |
3.05 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.29 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
11.00 |
| Home/Away |
25.00 |
| Draw/Away |
7.20 |
| Draw/Draw |
4.90 |
| Home/Home |
2.95 |
| Draw/Home |
4.55 |
| Away/Home |
17.00 |
| Away/Draw |
11.00 |
| Away/Away |
5.75 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.77 |
| No |
1.95 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
6.40 |
| 2:0 |
7.40 |
| 2:1 |
7.20 |
| 3:0 |
12.00 |
| 3:1 |
11.00 |
| 3:2 |
18.00 |
| 4:0 |
22.00 |
| 4:1 |
21.00 |
| 0:0 |
8.40 |
| 1:1 |
5.85 |
| 2:2 |
11.00 |
| 0:1 |
8.80 |
| 0:2 |
14.00 |
| 0:3 |
29.00 |
| 1:2 |
10.00 |
| 1:3 |
21.00 |
| 2:3 |
24.00 |
| 3:3 |
36.00 |
| 0:4 |
65.00 |
| 1:4 |
50.00 |
| 2:4 |
55.00 |
| 4:2 |
34.00 |
| 3:4 |
75.00 |
| 4:3 |
60.00 |
| 4:4 |
90.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.21 |
| Home/Away |
1.24 |
| Draw/Away |
1.75 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.90 |
| Even |
1.82 |
Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Draw/Over 1.5 |
4.35 |
| Away/Over 1.5 |
4.80 |
| Home/Over 1.5 |
2.35 |
| Home/Under 1.5 |
6.60 |
| Draw/Under 1.5 |
8.80 |
| Away/Under 1.5 |
9.20 |
| Home/Over 2.5 |
2.95 |
| Draw/Over 2.5 |
9.90 |
| Away/Over 2.5 |
5.85 |
| Home/Under 2.5 |
4.15 |
| Draw/Under 2.5 |
4.20 |
| Away/Under 2.5 |
6.80 |
| Draw/Over 3.5 |
9.90 |
| Home/Over 3.5 |
5.15 |
| Away/Over 3.5 |
11.00 |
| Home/Under 3.5 |
2.60 |
| Draw/Under 3.5 |
4.20 |
| Away/Under 3.5 |
4.55 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Fossombrone = 1.15 (league 1.32),
Chieti = 0.65 (league 1.18)
|
|
Chieti |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Fossombrone |
0 |
16.5% |
10.8% |
3.5% |
0.8% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
18.9% |
12.4% |
4.0% |
0.9% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
10.9% |
7.1% |
2.3% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
4.2% |
2.7% |
0.9% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
1.2% |
0.8% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 47.5% ·
Draw 31.4% ·
Away win 20.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
