Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.31)
0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.7% | 26.8% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 40% | 47% |
| Defense | 67% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 63% | 89% | 76% | 63% | 67% | 65% |
| Draws | 38% | 0% | 18% | 13% | 22% | 18% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 6% | 25% | 11% | 18% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWD • Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Ancona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 47% | 76% | 41% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 6% | 53% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 6% | 24% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Ancona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ostia Mare or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 1.44 (league 1.31), Ancona = 0.85 (league 1.18)
| Ancona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 22.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1