Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.31) 0.78 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 20.5% 13.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 6.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack67%73%
Defense73%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric L'Aquila Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins100%25%65%38%56%47%
Draws0%25%12%38%22%29%
Loses0%50%24%25%22%24%

Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLW • Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWW

League goals

Metric L'Aquila Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total231235102131
GF avg2.61.52.11.32.31.8
GA total417219918
GA avg0.42.11.21.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%65%76%59%
1.559%29%53%35%
2.535%12%29%12%
3.512%12%12%0%
4.56%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets516347
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
Wins44
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-01-6
Biggest losses—5-20-23-1
Goals For5336
Goals Against1523

Model comparison

MetricL'AquilaAtletico Ascoli
Form48%52%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h36%64%
Goals46%54%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : L'Aquila or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Superbet
No2.08 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 1.99 (league 1.31), Atletico Ascoli = 0.78 (league 1.17)

Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 6.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.4% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 13.8%

vtt 3 , vtd1