Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Rubens Fadini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.31) 1.09 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 29.3% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Giulianova 0 11.3% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack89%89%
Defense22%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Giulianova Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins56%0%28%40%50%44%
Draws22%67%44%40%13%28%
Loses22%33%28%20%38%28%

Form: Real Giulianova: WDLDLDDLDLWDWDWWDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Real Giulianova Vigor Senigallia
HATHAT
GF total1652112719
GF avg1.80.61.21.20.91.1
GA total1382111617
GA avg1.40.91.21.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%89%72%67%
1.528%17%28%22%
2.511%6%6%6%
3.56%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
HATHAT
Clean sheets022336
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
Wins21
Draws22
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses1-42-11-32-1
Goals For4132
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricReal GiulianovaVigor Senigallia
Form40%60%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Giulianova = 1.10 (league 1.31), Vigor Senigallia = 1.09 (league 1.16)

Vigor Senigallia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Giulianova 0 11.3% 12.2% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 13.4% 7.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.8% 7.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 35.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1