Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Rubens Fadini
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32)
1.08 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 29.4% | 34.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.4%
0 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Giulianova | 0 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 89% | 89% |
| Defense | 22% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 56% | 0% | 28% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 22% | 67% | 44% | 40% | 13% | 28% |
| Loses | 22% | 33% | 28% | 20% | 38% | 28% |
Form: Real Giulianova: WDLDLDDLDLWDWDWWDL • Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 5 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 89% | 72% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 17% | 28% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Giulianova | Vigor Senigallia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Vigor Senigallia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Giulianova = 1.09 (league 1.32), Vigor Senigallia = 1.08 (league 1.17)
| Vigor Senigallia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Giulianova | 0 | 11.4% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 34.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1