Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.32) 1.49 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 26.1% 58.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Notaresco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 12.5% 18.6% 13.9% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico AscoliNotaresco
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%56%
Defense44%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Ascoli Notaresco
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%60%50%40%63%50%
Draws38%20%28%30%38%33%
Loses25%20%22%30%0%17%

Form: Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWWW • Notaresco: WDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Atletico Ascoli Notaresco
HATHAT
GF total102333121325
GF avg1.32.31.81.21.61.4
GA total9101911516
GA avg1.11.01.11.10.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico AscoliNotaresco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%83%56%
1.556%33%33%28%
2.528%11%11%6%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico AscoliNotaresco
HATHAT
Clean sheets347358
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricAtletico AscoliNotaresco
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricAtletico AscoliNotaresco
Wins43
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-62-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-11-3—
Goals For3624
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAtletico AscoliNotaresco
Form59%41%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.81 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Ascoli = 0.59 (league 1.32), Notaresco = 1.49 (league 1.18)

Notaresco
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Ascoli 0 12.5% 18.6% 13.9% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8%
1 7.3% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 58.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1