Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31) 0.76 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 34.5% 29.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.1%
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 1
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Unipomezia 0 19.1% 14.6% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.6% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnipomeziaFossombrone
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack44%56%
Defense22%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Unipomezia Fossombrone
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins25%20%22%40%38%39%
Draws50%20%33%30%25%28%
Loses25%60%44%30%38%33%

Form: Unipomezia: DDLWWLDLWDLWLDLDLL • Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Unipomezia Fossombrone
HATHAT
GF total711189716
GF avg0.91.11.00.90.90.9
GA total8192761016
GA avg1.01.91.50.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnipomeziaFossombrone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%67%67%61%
1.522%50%22%17%
2.56%17%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnipomeziaFossombrone
HATHAT
Clean sheets426527
Failed to score325336

Penalties

MetricUnipomeziaFossombrone
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnipomeziaFossombrone
Wins22
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-01-2
Biggest losses2-45-11-23-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricUnipomeziaFossombrone
Form17%83%
Att44%56%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fossombrone and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Dafabet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Marathonbet
No2.07 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Unipomezia = 0.89 (league 1.31), Fossombrone = 0.76 (league 1.18)

Fossombrone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Unipomezia 0 19.1% 14.6% 5.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.0% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.6% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 29.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1