Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.32)
1.27 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | 23.5% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 50% | 10% | 28% | 90% | 25% | 61% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 10% | 50% | 28% |
Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLWLWLLDD • L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 12 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 6 | 17 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 72% | 94% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 39% | 56% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 17% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victor San Marino | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 39.8% | 60.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or L'Aquila
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 1.75 (league 1.32), L'Aquila = 1.27 (league 1.18)
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 27.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1