Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Helvia Recina
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.32)
2.06 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.7% | 20.7% | 59.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maceratese | 0 | 4.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 67% | 11% | 39% | 56% | 89% | 72% |
| Draws | 0% | 22% | 11% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLWL • Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 17 | 18 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maceratese | Ostia Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 50% | 56% | 6% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 6% | 33% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maceratese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 30% | 70% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 48.2% | 51.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ostia Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maceratese = 1.01 (league 1.32), Ostia Mare = 2.06 (league 1.17)
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maceratese | 0 | 4.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 59.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1