Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.31)
0.41 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.6% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
15.2%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 40% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 90% | 74% | 44% | 10% | 26% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 16% | 0% | 40% | 21% |
| Loses | 11% | 10% | 11% | 56% | 50% | 53% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLW • Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLWLWLLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 21 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 53% | 68% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 5% | 21% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 5% | 5% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Victor San Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 71.6% | 28.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Ostia Mare or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 2.32 (league 1.31), Victor San Marino = 0.41 (league 1.18)
| Victor San Marino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 14.4% · Away win 5.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1