Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio del Conero
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.31)
0.59 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.6% | 36.0% | 22.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Atletico Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 73% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 93% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 70% | 68% | 33% | 60% | 47% |
| Draws | 11% | 20% | 16% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Loses | 22% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 21% |
Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWDWW • Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 10 | 23 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 37% | 74% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 16% | 53% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 5% | 26% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ancona | Atletico Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 62.7% | 37.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ancona or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 0.91 (league 1.31), Atletico Ascoli = 0.59 (league 1.18)
| Atletico Ascoli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ancona | 0 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 22.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1