Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Nuovo Stadio Comunale G.Mancini
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.31)
2.98 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5% | 8.6% | 80.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.6%
0 - 3
15.5%
0 - 4
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Notaresco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castelfidardo Calcio | 0 | 3.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 11% | 9% | 10% | 36% | 56% | 45% |
| Draws | 11% | 18% | 15% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 78% | 73% | 75% | 36% | 0% | 20% |
Castelfidardo CalcioLLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLD
NotarescoWDWWWLDWWWDLLDDWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 18 | 40 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 90% | 80% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 35% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-6 | 3-1 | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castelfidardo Calcio | Notaresco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 9% | 91% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 26.3% | 73.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.88 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…