Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.31)
2.86 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.8% | 17.4% | 46.6% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 42% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 11 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 22% | 27% | 25% | 82% | 33% | 60% |
| Draws | 33% | 9% | 20% | 9% | 22% | 15% |
| Loses | 44% | 64% | 55% | 9% | 44% | 25% |
RecanateseLWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDW
L'AquilaDWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 24 | 15 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 6 | 18 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 90% | 90% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 55% | 55% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 15% | 35% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.27 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.13 @ Dafabet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…