Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.31)
2.05 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 19.1% | 68.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 1
13.9%
0 - 3
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 6.8% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 83% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 40% | 50% | 45% | 60% | 90% | 75% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 30% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 20% | 30% | 25% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Vigor SenigalliaWDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDW
Ostia MareWWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 65% | 85% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 20% | 60% | 5% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 40% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.80 @ Dafabet
Draw3.36 @ Marathonbet
Away1.88 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
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League standings
Loading standings…