Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Anco Marzio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.31) 0.95 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 22.5% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostia Mare 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack83%50%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ostia Mare Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins60%82%71%30%55%43%
Draws30%9%19%50%18%33%
Loses10%9%10%20%27%24%

Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLWWD • Atletico Ascoli: DDLLLWWWWDLDWWDWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Ostia Mare Atletico Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total222244112435
GF avg2.22.02.11.12.21.7
GA total5813101222
GA avg0.50.70.61.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%52%76%62%
1.557%5%48%33%
2.538%5%24%10%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510448
Failed to score303415

Penalties

MetricOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
Wins94
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-32-01-6
Biggest losses0-13-10-23-1
Goals For7336
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricOstia MareAtletico Ascoli
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.8%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ostia Mare or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ Marathonbet
Away4.18 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.88 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 1.85 (league 1.31), Atletico Ascoli = 0.95 (league 1.16)

Atletico Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ostia Mare 0 6.1% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 10.7% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1