Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.32) 0.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 36.2% 15.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
1 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 24.9% 10.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFossombroneSora
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack42%75%
Defense67%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fossombrone Sora
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins36%40%38%36%20%29%
Draws36%20%29%18%30%24%
Loses27%40%33%45%50%48%

Form: Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDL • Sora: LDWLDLWDWLLDLLLDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Fossombrone Sora
HATHAT
GF total9918171027
GF avg0.80.90.91.51.01.3
GA total61420181634
GA avg0.51.41.01.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFossombroneSora
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%62%76%
1.524%19%43%52%
2.50%14%14%29%
3.50%0%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFossombroneSora
HATHAT
Clean sheets628235
Failed to score448448

Penalties

MetricFossombroneSora
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFossombroneSora
Wins32
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-43-0
Goals For2242
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricFossombroneSora
Form53%47%
Att36%64%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sora

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Dafabet
Away3.20 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 0.97 (league 1.32), Sora = 0.42 (league 1.18)

Sora
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fossombrone 0 24.9% 10.6% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 10.2% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.6% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 15.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1