Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Campo Da Calcio Macrelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.32) 1.19 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 28.9% 39.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSammaureseMaceratese
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack75%50%
Defense67%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sammaurese Maceratese
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins18%10%14%55%10%33%
Draws27%20%24%0%30%14%
Loses55%70%62%45%60%52%

Form: Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLDWDWD • Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLWLLDL

League goals

Metric Sammaurese Maceratese
HATHAT
GF total10919191029
GF avg0.90.90.91.71.01.4
GA total152944161531
GA avg1.42.92.11.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSammaureseMaceratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%86%86%76%
1.529%57%38%52%
2.514%33%10%10%
3.50%19%5%5%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSammaureseMaceratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets303325
Failed to score6511123

Penalties

MetricSammaureseMaceratese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSammaureseMaceratese
Wins12
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-34-00-1
Biggest losses1-47-01-52-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against4752

Model comparison

MetricSammaureseMaceratese
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total59.0%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sammaurese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.12 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.20 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Superbet
No1.95 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sammaurese = 1.02 (league 1.32), Maceratese = 1.19 (league 1.18)

Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sammaurese 0 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.2% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 39.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1