Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Giorgio Calbi
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.32)
0.99 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.7% | 29.6% | 31.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 17% | 25% |
| Defense | 8% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 9% | 24% | 20% | 27% | 24% |
| Draws | 0% | 36% | 19% | 30% | 9% | 19% |
| Loses | 60% | 55% | 57% | 50% | 64% | 57% |
Form: Victor San Marino: LLLLWLDWDWLWLWLLDDLLL • Recanatese: LWDLLLLLLWLWDDWLLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 8 | 18 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 21 | 34 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victor San Marino | Recanatese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 76% | 67% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 48% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 24% | 10% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 5% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victor San Marino | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 39% | 61% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Recanatese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Victor San Marino = 1.13 (league 1.32), Recanatese = 0.99 (league 1.18)
| Recanatese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victor San Marino | 0 | 11.9% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 31.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1