Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.31) 0.39 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.0% 6.6% 2.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
13.3%
4 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chieti
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricL'AquilaChieti
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack58%25%
Defense75%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric L'Aquila Chieti
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins82%40%62%20%9%14%
Draws9%20%14%30%36%33%
Loses9%40%24%50%55%52%

Form: L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWLWDW • Chieti: DDWDDWDDLLLLLDLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric L'Aquila Chieti
HATHAT
GF total24174191019
GF avg2.21.72.00.90.90.9
GA total61824172239
GA avg0.51.81.11.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineL'AquilaChieti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%62%52%90%
1.557%29%24%57%
2.533%10%14%33%
3.510%10%0%5%
4.55%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricL'AquilaChieti
HATHAT
Clean sheets628112
Failed to score1124610

Penalties

MetricL'AquilaChieti
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricL'AquilaChieti
Wins41
Draws12
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-21-3
Biggest losses1-25-20-34-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricL'AquilaChieti
Form77%23%
Att70%30%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total76.0%24.0%

Advice: Winner : L'Aquila

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Superbet
Away9.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): L'Aquila = 3.36 (league 1.31), Chieti = 0.39 (league 1.16)

Chieti
0 1 2 3 4 5
L'Aquila 0 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.9% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.9% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 12.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.0% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 2.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1