Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia
Expected Goals
3.37 (league 1.31)
0.40 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.8% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
best score tips
3 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
13.1%
4 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Chieti | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| L'Aquila | 0 | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 58% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 82% | 40% | 62% | 20% | 9% | 14% |
| Draws | 9% | 20% | 14% | 30% | 36% | 33% |
| Loses | 9% | 40% | 24% | 50% | 55% | 52% |
L'AquilaDWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWLWDW
ChietiDDWDDWDDLLLLLDLLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 17 | 41 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 18 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | L'Aquila | Chieti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 62% | 52% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 29% | 24% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 10% | 14% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | L'Aquila | Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.33 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Superbet
Away9.20 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.20 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ Superbet
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League standings
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