Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.31)
0.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | 28.6% | 25.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Fossombrone | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 11.5% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 45% | 41% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Draws | 45% | 18% | 32% | 42% | 20% | 32% |
| Loses | 18% | 36% | 27% | 25% | 40% | 32% |
Vigor SenigalliaWDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDL
FossombroneDDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 68% | 59% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 23% | 23% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away3.50 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ William Hill
No1.70 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.70 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
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League standings
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