Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio del Conero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.31) 0.41 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.3% 24.0% 9.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 13.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAnconaMaceratese
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack87%47%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ancona Maceratese
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins75%69%72%54%17%36%
Draws8%23%16%0%25%12%
Loses17%8%12%46%58%52%

Form: Ancona: LWWWWWDWWWWDLLWWDWWWWWWWD • Maceratese: LLLWWLWLLDWLWDWLWLLDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Ancona Maceratese
HATHAT
GF total192645211435
GF avg1.62.01.81.61.21.4
GA total51116181634
GA avg0.40.80.61.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAnconaMaceratese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%44%80%76%
1.556%16%40%44%
2.524%4%12%8%
3.512%0%8%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAnconaMaceratese
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614336
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricAnconaMaceratese
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAnconaMaceratese
Wins72
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-54-00-4
Biggest losses1-23-01-52-1
Goals For4544
Goals Against2352

Model comparison

MetricAnconaMaceratese
Form68%32%
Att65%35%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals71%29%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Winner : Ancona

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away6.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ancona = 1.58 (league 1.31), Maceratese = 0.41 (league 1.18)

Maceratese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ancona 0 13.7% 5.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.1% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.3% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 9.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1