Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Anco Marzio
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.31)
0.36 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.5% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
14.9%
4 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 58% | 77% | 68% | 25% | 8% | 16% |
| Draws | 33% | 15% | 24% | 8% | 15% | 12% |
| Loses | 8% | 8% | 8% | 67% | 77% | 72% |
Form: Ostia Mare: WWWWWWWWWDWWWDLWDLWWDDDWW • Castelfidardo Calcio: LLLLLDLLLLWLLDLWLLLDWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 23 | 51 | 13 | 8 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 23 | 49 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 52% | 60% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 8% | 20% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 4% | 4% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-6 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ostia Mare | Castelfidardo Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 68.0% | 32.0% |
Advice: Winner : Ostia Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.23 @ 1xBet
Draw5.80 @ 1xBet
Away11.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ostia Mare = 3.15 (league 1.31), Castelfidardo Calcio = 0.36 (league 1.18)
| Castelfidardo Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ostia Mare | 0 | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.5% · Draw 7.4% · Away win 2.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1